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Tackling Climate Change in 2017
                        December 2017


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The book by David Suzuki and Ian Hanington, Just Cool It: Climate Change and What We Can Do (Graystone Books, 2017), appeared dull at first. David Suzuki brings a steady style from his role on national media – factual and complete with little overstatement. When that style hits the climate change crisis and science that I thought I knew, it is not a formula for excitement. I persevered. Interest and respect grew. After the Paris Agreement and the arrival of the purveyor of “alternative facts,” a stocktaking and assessment of what we little people can do is valuable. My issue awareness was updated and my gaps were filled – well – partially!

 

The first three chapters set the stage and make clear that climate change has arrived, that it is caused by human activity and that the burning of fossil fuels is the major contributor, aided by cattle farming and industrialized agriculture. Yes – the demand for beef as opposed to chicken and pork matters to the climate!

 

The run through of obstacles in chapter 3 is a helpful discussion of distracting side issues - if not “alternative facts.” The workings of climate change are complex, but the major causes are not. Priorities become: conserving energy; getting energy without burning fossil fuels; and preserving natural systems that absorb and store carbon, like oceans and forests.

 

There are questions about population. Population and excessive consumption in the developed world contribute to climate change. Population is best addressed by greater women’s rights worldwide in birth control, in family planning, in education and in participation in society and politics. But fossil fuels have driven the population boom and brought a legacy of massive fossil fuel infrastructure.

 

China is indeed the biggest carbon emitter, but there’s more than China. Every emitter needs to cut. China is also a leader in renewable energy development. True, Trump’s denial may keep coal burning in the world’s number 2 carbon emitter, but the US is more than Trump. There are positive developments too. Some countries are already close to running on renewable energy. Costa Rica generated enough renewable energy to run the entire country for almost 1/3 of 2015; Denmark aims for 70% renewable by 2020.

 

Trade agreements can conflict with national environmental concerns. As I write, Lone Pine Resources Inc. is suing Canada over a temporary fracking ban to protect the St Lawrence River! And efforts to promote renewables in Ontario have been challenged. There is little doubt that sales and trade agreements, globalization, and international transportation contribute to global warming despite some positive aspects of trade.

 

The fossil fuel infrastructure, with cars, pipelines and fracking, is a big obstacle. Delays before expanding fossil fuel infrastructure are wise at this time. Cars and trucks are among the biggest emission contributors, accounting for about 1/5 of US emissions. Add planes trains ships and freight and you get to 30%. Cars waste about 85% of the energy they use. Electric cars could help, depending on where the electricity comes from. But car manufacture itself is energy intensive.

 

Doubt, confusion and denial have not diminished with continuing scientific evidence and observable climate change.  “People associated with fossil fuels put a lot of money and effort into misleading campaigns to down play the risks of their industry, and to convince people that moving from coal, oil and gas would be too costly, difficult and unnecessary.”

The Heartland Institute in the US and comparable organizations in the UK, Canada, Australia and New Zealand support the confusion campaign. Why the campaign? Year after year ExxonMobil pulls in more money than any company in history. Chevron’s not far behind. They are putting short-term profit before human survival.

 

Naomi Klein suggests that climate change challenges the fundamental belief that things can be left to the magic of the market. Climate change calls us to plan our society to prevent catastrophe.

 

The 2012 Climate Vulnerability Report prepared in Europe for the NGO DARA by 50 scientists, economists and experts examined costs. Climate change cost a rising $1.2 trillion annually and 400,000 deaths, mainly in developing countries. Studies by the World Bank and also by a group of prominent Republicans and Democrats – Risky Business – call for carbon pricing and more. A commentary in Nature by a group of scientists and economists calls for a moratorium on tar sands exploration and transportation. The economy is just a construct that brings a widening rich/poor gap and little growth in well-being. Nature is our home and we need a fundamental reality check.

 

In considering solutions, what can be done, the book offers a framework for evaluating possible solutions. Does a solution increase democratic control, or is power pushed to a more elite control group - as is a consequence of nuclear power. What is the impact on nature? Does the solution go along with nature rather than challenge it?

 

Chapter 4 runs through some solutions possible to individuals. These go beyond the evident need for persons to join in an international movement calling for serious government commitments to deal with the causes of climate change and challenge the use of fossil fuels. First, green your commute and travel. Walking or riding a bike is best. Using public transit helps.  Joining a car share, buying a less polluting car, and car-pooling all help. Electric and hybrid cars can help too. Being energy efficient helps: putting in low energy lighting; programing thermostats; and using energy efficient appliances. Also, try putting a solar panel or two on the roof! Don’t forget to reduce consumption and waste – including waste of foods. Animal agriculture produces huge amounts of greenhouse gas emissions and consumes a lot of water. Cattle produce about 40% of global agricultural emissions, but pigs and poultry 10%. So vegans or vegetarians are best for the climate, but even choosing chicken over beef helps! Some types of agriculture are worse than others – for example large-scale industrial farming is bad. Finally, one can divest any money one has invested in the fossil fuel industry.

 

Chapter 5 goes further into the complicated role of agriculture in global warming using World Resources Institute, WRI, data. Farming accounts for 13% of emissions, the second largest industry after the energy sector. Methane from cattle and nitrous oxide from fertilizers make up 65% of the farm emissions. Less comes from manure management, rice cultivation, field residue burning and fuel use on farms. Clearing of forests and wetlands that serve as carbon sinks also contributes to emission.

 

Crops are in general less of a problem than cattle. WRI says changing crop management and grazing can help. That is aided by: better fertilizer management, conservation tillage, rotational grazing, altering forage composition, and restoring degraded lands. But given the scale of emissions, a shift to agroecology is called for: reducing pollution and chemical use, increasing biodiversity, protecting water, growing healthier food and creating more equitable food systems. Widely employing techniques like terra preta (or “black earth”) could have a big impact.1

 

Genetically modified crops are not the best answer. They pull control to an elite running the modified variety. The danger with laboratory fixes is the “Silent Spring” experience of getting onto a treadmill to remove unexpected side effects. Working with nature through agroecology is preferred. Have many farmers test seeds and choose evolving seeds that work best in their soil so that their crops “naturally” adapt to changing soil, pests and climate. It also puts a lot of farmers in the driver’s seat. One theoretical study concluded that global adoption of agroecology with cover crops, compost, crop rotation and reduced tillage could take up more carbon than is currently emitted – a net win for the planet. The good news is evidence from real practice that agroecology can outperform the use of chemical fertilizers in boosting food production significantly. It did so in projects in 57 developing countries especially in unfavourable environments. Crop production went up an average 80% - with an average of 116% for all African projects.

 

The chapter ends with some information about the real possibilities of food production in cities and urban gardens.

 

Chapter 6 on technical solutions begins by de-bunking those familiar arguments against clean energy – that the wind may not blow or the sun may not shine. The 2013 Trottier Report is clear that Canada has vast renewable energy resources many times larger than current or projected needs. A 2013 Stanford Report found New York could technically and economically be converted to sustainable reliable and inexpensive energy from wind, water and sunlight creating local jobs and saving the State pollution-related costs. The New York Times was told that the obstacles for the whole US were not technical or economic but social and political – the lack of will to do it. Renewable energy sources can bring costs to ecology and wildlife, but fossil fuels and nuclear fuel are more costly.

 

The need for a large baseload of electricity from a huge dam or a nuclear power plant is a thing of a past dominated by the needs of aluminum and cement plants. Today, a nimble smart grid with concentrated solar, thermal, enhanced geothermal and flexible energy storage by wind-compressed air and pumped heat can work better than the large 24/7 polluting plants that are now more a problem than an asset. In any case, nuclear must be shut down for weeks at a time for refuelling. Basically, today’s electrical systems do not need to pump CO2 into the air and leak tritium into the water!

 

Solar power is growing and becoming more economical. The dominant solar panels are from readily available materials. In 2015 solar supplied 1% of global energy needs. Disadvantages are: the need for emergy storage; installations take up a lot of space; and some of the newer technologies use rare materials, the mining of which can bring ecological risks. However, technologies are also developing rapidly in related areas, with some mimicking photosynthesis. Meeting the 2050 world energy needs could be done by scaling up production of current silicon cells. Meeting 2050 demands would be problematic for newer solar technologies at this time.

 

Wind energy currently supplies 3% of world electricity generation, but 41% of Denmark’s and 15% of Spain, Portugal, Ireland and Lithuania’s. Health and environmental concerns have been raised. For health, the serious evidence on sound can usually be addressed by a 0.5km distancing. Yes, there is an impact on birds, bats and wildlife so that wind farms should avoid major migratory flight paths. However, the existing energy sources and transmission lines bring serious pollution problems and risks too. Pet cats are by far the biggest threat to birds. Aesthetics of smoke stacks, industrial plants or windmills are a matter of taste. I’m with Suzuki – I don’t mind seeing windmills. I am far more worried by a nuclear power plant.

 

Hydroelectric power is a useful part of the emerging new mix of renewable supplies, but one huge hydro dam is more problematic than a collection of more modest hydro dams. This is on account of initial land flooding and related ecology, impeding fish even when fish ladders are provided, altering river temperatures and dissolved oxygen levels. Today’s dams are best built in stages and adapted as climate changes.

 

Storage makes renewable sources viable – especially in remote areas. In Australia Tesla is selling Powerwall Lithium home battery systems. AllGrid Energy is producing less expensive ten-kilowatt-hour lead acid gel batteries. Wind power is deemed sustainable with the existing good storage. Solar is not yet sustainable on account of the energy needed to produce the cell. An improved grid would allow the US, now, to use renewable sources for its electricity without storage. Studies of alternative storage techniques are underway in Ontario.

 

Geothermal electricity generating is promising, but it depends on locating suitable sites,  and that has received less government support than other renewable energy sources and less government support than fossil fuels.

 

Biofuels can in theory be useful, but they raise questions about whether land is best used for food agriculture. They can reduce greenhouse gas emissions for long haul trucking. In general, efforts are better placed in greater fuel efficiency, public transit and the like.

 

A number of arguments show power generation by waste incineration can be unwise. Incineration is inefficient and expensive. Fly ash and pollutant can be released to the air and the disposal of the bottom ash that has lead and cadmium content is problematic. The “reduce, reuse and recycle” is best but if you do that it creates a dilemma because it can hurt fuel supplies.

 

It surprised me to learn that the destruction of carbon sinks like forests and wetlands is responsible for more emissions in the air than cars, trucks, planes and boats together. Tropical forests absorb more carbon than was thought.  The oceans are the other big sink for CO2. Such assets deserve protection. Nature should be treated with care. Maintaining ecosystems can help cities save money.

 

Conventional nuclear power comes with a lot of problems. The overall life cycle from mining uranium through constructing to decommissioning power plants is not particularly green. Some argue risks of meltdown and problems of radioactive waste can be overcome with newer technologies. Thorium reactors may be better, but such alternatives can still be used for weapons and still produce radioactive and corrosive materials. The time and cost of putting them on stream is larger than for renewables. Plus the nature of nuclear power requires a centralized facility and security and these are inherently less democratic.

 

Use of natural gas is suggested as bridging to other measures. Yet gas is still a fossil fuel. It contributes to the emissions problem. It maintains the old ways of digging and burning that created the problem. Moreover, the use of fracking raises big problems for the quality of groundwater that populations rely on and fracking has stimulated earthquakes. A Suzuki Foundation study found that a hundred times the well pads were needed to get the same amount of gas from fracking as from conventional sources. These are disruptive in farm or cottage country! And leaking natural gas adds to global warming. Also enormous amounts of water are needed for fracking - a big issue in areas of shortage or times of drought. We are better getting on with creating sustainable jobs producing sustainable energy that can be done right now.

 

Can geoengineering help? This is nothing to do with “chemtrails” - some supposed secret military or government and airline scheme to seed the atmosphere with chemicals. Suzuki dismisses this as yet more confusion from a mix of science fiction and conspiracy theory in the same league as climate change denial. Geoengineering might seek to manage solar radiation or to put away CO2. Cutting solar radiation by scattering, or whitening clouds, or giant reflectors doesn’t address the CO2 release problem itself. Ideas for removing CO2 by seeding oceans with iron to cause plankton to bloom, absorbing CO2, and then sink have been tried. Reports indicate this does not work. Moreover algae can produce toxins!

 

A 2015 Australian report on large Carbon Capture projects reported 15 worldwide with total capacity of 28 million tonnes per year. Canada, Saskatchewan and Alberta have projects aimed to put CO2 into the ground as a mix to get out more oil – “enhanced oil recovery.” But little is known about what happens to the CO2 used in the mix and the method has yet to be developed. A Saskatchewan project has had setbacks and cost over-runs but the Saskatchewan government says it is a success. These efforts may be worth studying, but they should not be an excuse by the oil and gas industry for not doing what clearly works – using more of the cost effective renewable energy sources for power generation.

 

The last chapter looks at institutional solutions – like the international agreements. These have worked in response to acid rain and maintaining the ozone layer. The stakes are higher for putting the brakes on the world’s most profitable and entrenched industry. Canada could take a stand: no more tar sands projects. In addition, people and corporations should not be able to spew out pollution into the air without cost or consequence – in fact this illustrates a current huge market failure.

 

Carbon tax is a way to go. A number of US states and provinces have cap or cap-and- trade for CO2. Some are sceptical. Suzuki says Ontario’s scheme will cut emissions, but cap-and-trade is not enough on its own. Carbon taxes have worked in BC and Sweden and there was still economic growth. Suzuki reminds the reader that he has argued elsewhere that carbon pollution is an unfair trade subsidy that needs a countervailing tariff on imports. A stronger carbon tax helps kick start renewable industries. Carbon offsets are popular and can help for CO2 produced by travel. But offsets are not all equal. The best result is a net fall in CO2. So Suzuki does not regard planting a tree as a legitimate offset. Also, the cost of work needed to meet a legislated emission level must not be considered a legitimate carbon offset. Suzuki notes from the German experiment that “feed in tariffs,” paying people or groups to add renewable energy, work for developing renewable energy supplies, but these add to the cost of German electricity.

 

In this last chapter there is a final section about new economies for a changing world. Suzuki quotes Naomi Klein that climate change cannot be addressed without challenging the logic of unregulated capitalism. But Suzuki is clear that his top priority is addressing the climate change itself. It is not too costly. Jobs and economic prosperity are at risk without doing it. The economic benefits from the solutions are lost. That is what the World Bank and the US non-partisan report argue.

 

But Suzuki thinks that the World Bank suggestions may not be enough if we consider 21st century realities: resource scarcity, climate change and a desire for greater equity. Economic systems that rely on growth and consumption for their own sake add to the climate change problem. Suzuki ends by visioning a more sustainable economic model that puts priority on clean water and air, and healthy food. Polluters would pay. Capital would spread more widely. There would be greater sharing of income and work and wealth. It’s time we talked about a future where we lived with less but were happier, he says. Amen to that.

 

1 Terra preta is a human made soil that is black color from its weathered charcoal content.  It is made by adding a mixture of charcoal, bone, and manure to otherwise relatively infertile soil. A product of indigenous soil management and slash-and-char agriculture, the charcoal is very stable and remains in the soil for thousands of years, binding and retaining minerals and nutrients.


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