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Nuclear Power and the Future

   
     March 2011

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The news of damage to a Japanese nuclear reactor and release of radio active material brought a series of newpaper articles.  It reminded me why I believe nuclear reactors should be phased out as a source of power. However, newspapers supplied  a few thoughts wrapped up in a lot of reassurance to offset the anticipated normal reasonable human response.


For the Globe editors on March 15th, no energy source is perfect. There are explosions in coal mines and.global warming from fossil fuels.  "So rather than forsake nuclear power altogether nuclear nations  should re-evaluate risks most germane to their facilities ... It is a necessary energy source, though not without great risks ..." Comparing the risk to explosions in a mine  is an insult to those who experienced the different nature of  the Chernoble  nuclear disaster in which land became radioactive and uninhabitable and in a wider radius food and people were subjected to higher levels of radiation - as far as Sweden. The fact that there is no safe way to store the used fuel safely for the necessary period of thousands of years goes unmentioned. Also not mentioned is the Canadian self interest in the reactors . Canada is an  important supplier of  the relatively scarce uranium which is the fuel.


March 17th, Globe collumnist Margaret Wente acknowledged "words like 'meltdown' and 'contamination' don't exactly inspire confidence." She added: "There's another risk ... cost blowouts. The new reactors ... are propped up with enormous public subsidies." But she's not worried about reactors in Ontario  "except for the sticker shock." "Reactors that should make us nervous  are those in places where regulations and engineering expertese may be shaky ..."


In an Op. Ed. on the same day Homer Dixon reinforced Wente's cost issue and optimitically saw cost as the means of forcing a transition to sustainable energy.  "In recent years, the capital costs of nuclear plants have skyrocketed, ...Twenty-five years from now, Fukushima should be the label we use for the moment when humankind finally grasped the staggering severity of its common energy problem – and started investing the real resources needed to solve it."  He sees the challenge of transforming to sustainable energy critical.: "... solving our energy problem will be a defining challenge in the evolution of our species. If we don’t face this challenge aggressively and now, it will be game over for anything resembling modern civilization."


In complete contrast with Wente's fear of reactors in the less developed world and Homer-Dixon's assumption of the end of nuclear, on March 18 staff writer Doug Sauders made a pitch for keeping nuclear.  "Though governments ...  failed to agree on a ... plan to get carbon emissions under control, great strides were being made ...most notably among the emerging powers of Asia. And those plans relied heavily on building scores of nuclear-power plants to displace coal, in order to fuel the next wave of growth in ways that wouldn't clot the upper atmosphere." Presumable, if the regulations are poor as Wente fears, the cost factors are not as bad as Homer Dixon assumes either and we face scores of scary reactors. Having radiation from used fuel around for thousands of years does not sound too environmentally friendly either.


To cap it off, Antonia Zerbisias' March 25 article in the  Toronto Star noted that the Thorium  nuclear reactor is  smaller, safer, has readily available fuel  and the waste remains radioactive for a  mere 300 years.  Apparently this approach was mothballed in favour of the uranium reactors in the cold war years because the uranium reactor provides material for nuclear weapons and was more suitable for use in nuclear submarines. According to the article the only problem is nuclear industry inertia.  Perhaps the Candian interest in selling the uranium fuel has also something to do with it.  However, this amounts to the same dismissive rapproach to  alternatives which authors apply to wind and solar power.

While there has been documentation from Greenpeace showing that solar panels and wind can power Germany, the writers all manage to state that only 20%-30% of power needs can be met tby solar and wind. Sauders claims that with wind the power goes off if the wind  stops. This is not true if storage is provided.  Storage is not rocket science. For example a hydro-electric plant can pump water into reservoirs upstream when  electricity is in surplus and drain  reservoirs when there is a need  to generate more. Only Homer-Dixon thinks there is a plausible alternative to nuclear and fossil fuels - he thinks geothermal .


But as other articles in this series show, the real issue is not  just sustainable energy. The issue is a sustainable economy which responds to other threats to the environment on which human life depends. Agriculture may not need fertilizers as much as energy consuming fertilizer companies need current agriculture patterns.


In the end, the real lesson from Japan is that we need to  stop pinning our hopes on nuclear power. The Globe editors and Sauders are wrong. There must be no  more nuclear  power stations and nuclear power should be phased out. There can be life after nuclear power. It is not certain life will continue too long with it.  Then, as Homer-Dixon notes, the future of the species depends not only on no nuclear, but also cutting use of fossil fuels as well - a tall order, but not yet impossible.


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